San Francisco 49ers Blogspot

Apology

2007-06-21T21:39:00.000-05:00

So, I have not kept up my end of the bargain with this blog...my time has been taken up with journalism school and writing (occasionally) for 49ersparadise.com, a fantastic website.

Honestly, 49ersparadise can do a better job covering the team than I could ever do with this blog...so, I'm retiring it, at least for the foreseeable future...of course, I reserve the right to change my mind, in great athlete fashion.

So check out 49ersparadise.com. It's worth it.

www.49ersparadise.com

2007-03-14T21:47:00.000-05:00

Pretty soon, I'm going to start writing weekly articles for www.49ersparadise.com. I also plan on podcasting every other week on the lastest Niner moves.

Readers: this is the premiere website for 49ers fans. The site should be the first place you go for any Niners information. I've given up surfing the web or reading the San Francisco Chronicle to catch up on my news. Instead, I just go to www.49ersparadise.com. Makers of the site scour all major football websites and quickly post new stories on the web. The site also has original content (some of which I will contribute), but I'll admit: the true selling point of the site is its unbelievably quick and reliable 49er information. Plus, the site has made connections to writers on the inside, so some information is first-hand.

I hope you guys don't think this is an advertisement (after all, I'm not getting paid). It's simply a fact: no website generates Niner news faster. You should all check it out...and I'm going to continue posting here (more frequently), so this blog will not go away...

Stallworth to Pats....

2007-03-11T12:52:00.000-05:00

All this means is that it is imperative we draft a top-quality receiver...

Who's next?

2007-03-10T20:49:00.001-05:00

Now that the Niners have slowed their frantic spending spree, one can't help but wonder who is next...Donte Stallworth is still on the market and could conceivably be a 49er...

That would make the receiving corp: Arnaz Battle, Ashley Lelie, Donte Stallworth, Bryan Gilmore, Brandon Williams

Tight ends: Delanie Walker, Vernon Davis

This seems like a tighter unit. You know the Niners are going to add a WR or two in the draft, but adding Stallworth doesn't put pressure on a draft pick to immediately perform. However, if the Niners do draft, say, a Dwayne Jarrett as a trade-up in the early second round, there would be a definite crowd at WR...but injuries happen, and depth isn't necessarily a bad thing. However, knowing that Lelie has anger-management issues when he's not playing, my guess is that the Niners pass on Stallworth and simply fill up the receiving corps in the draft.

LaVar Arrington is still on the market...might the Niners take a flier on this guy?

Who's next?

2007-03-10T20:49:00.000-05:00

Now that the Niners have slowed their frantic spending spree, one can't help but wonder who is next...Donte Stallworth is still on the market and could conceivably be a 49er...

That would make the receiving corp: Arnaz Battle, Ashley Lelie, Donte Stallworth, Bryan Gilmore, Brandon Williams

Tight ends: Delanie Walker, Vernon Davis

This seems like a tighter unit. You know the Niners are going to add a WR or two in the draft, but adding Stallworth doesn't put pressure on a draft pick to immediately perform. However, if the Niners do draft, say, a Dwayne Jarrett as a trade-up in the early second-round, there would be a definite crowd at WR...but injuries happen, and depth isn't necessarily a bad thing. However, knowing that Lelie has anger-management issues when he's not playing, my guess is that the Niners pass on Stallworth and simply fill up the receiving corps in the draft.

LaVar Arrington is still on the market...might the Niners take a flier on this guy?

Now here's a thought...

2007-03-07T18:33:00.000-05:00

What about Ricky Williams as a backup to Gore? He'd be a great second option, wouldn't he?

He lives in California and would probably come relatively cheap...

One major difference...

2007-03-06T19:18:00.000-05:00

A lot of writers, commentators and fans have drawn comparisons to the Eddie D/Carmen Policy free-spending ways based on the past few days.

However, this is one major difference this time around...the Niners are limiting themselves to players 27 and younger.

The old Niners spent to add veterans--especially on defense. Kevin Greene, Rod Woodson, Charles Haley (the second time around), Richard Dent, Charles Mann, Rickey Jackson and many others were already-proven vets on the tail ends of their careers when the signed with SF in the '90s. They were signed to mix in with a team near the brink of a Super Bowl every year.

This year's team is building. These signing are meant to be key pieces to a growing team in 2007, 2008, 2009 and beyond.

It's still money, but money differently spent...and for a rebuilding team, this is definitely the way to go...Paraag Marathe got some really bad press in his first year, but he should be credited for designing contracts that will prevent the Niners from suffering through cap hell in future years while still bringing in talent. Hiring Stanford grads to control contracts is the wave of the future for all sports...

Joe Horn or Eric Moulds?

2007-03-06T18:46:00.000-05:00

One of these guys, a good draft pick, Lelie, Gilmore, B. Williams and Battle would be work fine as a group, no?

Fill in the blanks

2007-03-06T17:45:00.000-05:00

What do the Niners still need? Just fill in the blanks...

QB Smith
RB Gore (Hicks is a serviceable backup)
FB Norris
WR ____, Lelie, Battle (a No. 1 receiver is still needed...Look to the draft. Brandon Williams and Bryan Gilmore are the backups.)
TE Davis
OL Jennings, Allen, Heitmann, Smiley, Synder (Harris, Wragge, Bass all good backups)

DEs Young, Douglas (Fields is supposed to be a good backup, but we need a _____ who can put pressure on the QB from the end position, even in the 3-4)
DT Franklin (____ back-up, or maybe the starter. Look to the draft)
LBs Moore, Banta-Cain, Smith, Lawson (Ulbrich, Haralson and ___ back-up...another tackler, perhaps, through free agency?)
SS M. Lewis (K. Lewis is a great backup)
FS M. Roman (K. Lewis will backup here too)
CB Clements, Harris (Spencer is a good backup)

So, the Niners have a whole bunch of picks...but only four glaring areas of need.

The most glaring is clearly wide receiver. Without a top target, the team is going nowhere next year. Everyone will clamp down on Gore if Smith can't throw the ball. The team MUST find a potential No. 1 receiver in the draft. If Calvin Johnson can't be had, look for the team to trade up to the late first/early second to draft Jarrett. At least, I hope...)

As it stands now, I see the Niners front 3 putting minimal pressure on the QB, which means that Moore, Haralson and Banta-Cain (and maybe Green) will be in charge of getting the QB. It's risky to have all of your rushers line up behind the line. The Niners need a rushing end who can play the 3-4. Look to the third and fourth round here--or, potentially, Adam Carriker in the first round.

I see the Niners toying with the idea of bringing in another linebacker through free agency. There are a lot out there...maybe Donnie Edwards? He was coached by Manusky at San Diego...with Banta-Cain signed, we could use an all-purpose linebacker, not simply a pass-rusher...Edwards could be a Gary Plummer-like signing...(and not simply the San Diego to San Francisco connection...)

Finally, I'm not totally sold on Franklin. We need another option in the middle. Nose tackles wear down quickly, even mid-game. If we don't trade up for Calvin Johnson, I see us going DT in the first round, either by trading up for Branch or taking Okoye.

Tully Banta-Cain

2007-03-05T22:31:00.000-05:00

This guy is paying a visit to Niners headquarters...he'd be a good signing. I watched a lot of him on the Pats this past season, and he is an excellent pash rusher...he reminds me a lot of Tim Harris. We haven't had a great pass rushing linebacker in a while (although Roderick Green showed potential last year).

If Banta-Cain can improve a little more, he might be good for 7-to-9 sacks.

Arrington or Porter?

2007-03-04T22:21:00.000-05:00

Porter's character would be perfect for this team. He would bring a nastiness that hasn't existed for a long time (especially now that Newburry is gone). BY is a nice guy...Porter is a beast.

Arrington has a lot of potential too...I know both might be potential "attitude" problems...would signing one or the other be more trouble than its worth?

Is something funny going on?

2007-03-03T19:45:00.000-05:00

Just a thought...not even a hunch, but...

The Ravens had the opportunity to tag Adalius Thomas. For a bizarre reason, they did not.

Then, the Niners seemingly had an open-door invitation to sign Thomas. Nolan used to be his coordinator and SF had more money than anyone.

Oddly, a day before free agency begins, there's a leak in Niners camp that says, "we may not be as interested in Thomas as you think..."

Sure enough, from the gun, the Niners jump in and sign Clements, leaving Thomas alone. They tentatively book an interview, but on Day 2, understanding that New England would have first dibs.

Perhaps Thomas simply wanted to play with New England--I mean, who wouldn't. They are the best thing going right now...a Super Bowl contender, potential dynasty, playing with a lot of money. Maybe Thomas' agent said to the Niners, "I don't care how much money you offer me, my client wants New England."

But maybe Nolan and the Ravens know something we don't. Is it possible Nolan and Billick thought Thomas wasn't worth big money? And the talk of the Niners' interest was just smoke and mirrors to drive the price up for another team?

Whoa! I like Day 2 A LOT...

2007-03-03T19:12:00.000-05:00

Ashley Lelie! I really didn't think we'd go for this guy, so I never mentioned him...I like this signing a lot. Lelie is only two years removed from a 1,000 yard season. He's young and has more potential than Stallworth, Bennett (who also signed today...glad not with us...), or Kevin Curtis. He is 6'3, 200 lbs...he's in the mold of Antonio Bryant (Bryant's actually a bit smaller), without quite as much baggage (although he, too, has been labeled as a clubhouse cancer at times) and a little more speed. Atlanta didn't use him right...it's tough when Vick's your QB to really utilize wide receivers...

Lelie is the type of stronger receiver the team needed. Can be a No. 1? Maybe not...but he can be a No. 2. And right now, we don't even have that.

Also, the Niners seem to think that Aubrayo Franklin is big enough to start in the middle at 320 lbs. In today's NFL 320 lbs isn't huge. Why didn't we just draft Vince Wolfork a few years ago instead of trading down for Rashaun Woods!? It makes me so mad! It was such an obvious pick at the time...we have needed a big DT for, like, 10 years!

So we beat Denver...

2007-03-03T14:07:00.000-05:00

A lot of pundits have looked to the Niners' end-of-year victory against the Broncos as a huge win, as it solidified the Niners as a team on the rise.

However, if we had lost that game, we'd be in a much better position to draft Branch or pass-rushers Jamaal Anderson/Gaines Adams in the first-round.

Now, we're going to have to trade up to get any of the three...and lose some really good picks.

The game had no playoff implications for us (we were out already) and could jeopardize the near future of the team...

You can argue it had positive externalities (it helped morale! It convinced Clements we were a team on the rise!), but this reasoning seems lame and probably untrue.

Just a thought...

Hmmm...

2007-03-03T14:00:00.000-05:00

Well, the defense is better, but the Niners still have a lot of holes to fill...

My revised prediction for the 2007 starting defense:

DE B. Young
NT A. Okoye/trade up for Branch (I'm assuming Aubrayo Franklin is not good enough to start)
DE M. Douglas

LB J. Porter
LB B. Moore
LB M. Lawson
LB D. Smith

CB Clements
CB Harris
SS M. Lewis
FS M. Roman (Nolan said he'd start...over K. Lewis? I'm surprised...)

This puts big-money CB Shawntae Spencer as a nickel back...

The rich get richer...

2007-03-02T20:43:00.001-05:00

You can't always get what you want...from Boston.com...

Thomas update

The Patriots are scheduled to host linebacker Adalius Thomas at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, and assuming he passes a physical and there are no last-minute hitches, the sides should finalize a blockbuster deal that will make Thomas a Patriot, according to a source familiar with the negotiations.

Clements and Michael Lewis signed...

2007-03-02T20:10:00.000-05:00

A new starter on defense and a primary backup...Clements definitely overpaid at 8 years, 80(!) million...

I guess Walt Harris will go from Pro Bowler to nickel back...

Michael Lewis was burned in coverage over and over again for the Eagles last year...I hope this was a "one-year" slip-up, because he used to be nasty...

http://www.49ersparadise.com/cgi-bin/news/news.cgi?action=display&num=11790

So, we overpaid for a corner and signed a one-dimensional safety on day one...

Not really what I was expecting today...

Clements?

2007-03-02T16:53:00.000-05:00

ESPN reports the Niners are close to signing Clements...

Do we really need this guy, with Harris and Spencer? Is his signing going to prevent us from signing Adalius?

Does this make sense? I suppose Harris is getting old, but still...

Would you do it?

2007-03-02T12:09:00.000-05:00

Here's a thought:

Would you give up the No. 11 pick AND next year's first round pick to move up nine spots and draft Calvin Johnson? The Niners are so young (and should be good enough in 2007) that having a first-rounder next year may not yield huge benefits. Is it worth it to move up to a position this year to grab a potential superstar receiver by mortgaging a little bit of the future?

QB Smith
RB Gore
FB Norris
WR Calvin Johnson, Donte Stallworth, (Arnaz Battle)
TE Davis
OLs Jennings, Allen, Heitman, Smiley, Snyder (Do we really need Leonard Davis? I think our money would be better spent elsewhere...)

DEs Young, Haralson/Kerney
DT Douglas (he's big enough...)/Fields
LBs Adalius Thomas, Manny Lawson, Derek Smith, Brandon Moore
SS Roman/Free agent/Second-round pick
FS Keith Lewis
CB Spencer, Harris

Porter and Horn?

2007-03-01T22:42:00.000-05:00

We're a little more than two hours away from the official start of free agency, and players are being dumped to help cap-strapped teams get their finances in order.

The Niners have a ton of money to spend but cut Antonio Bryant today. I'd imagine most fans aren't too upset with that, assuming we can find someone to replace him...

Joe Horn might be an option. He was cut today and might be the best free agent out there. But, he's 35 and has been injury prone recently...that said, our newly appointed QB coach was the Saints' QB coach in 2000 and 2001, during Horn's prime. He may have some say there...

Joey Porter was cut today too. This guy has been around for a while but is still only 29. He's a stud, and the Niners should give him a really good look. He'd be a lot cheaper than Thomas, if the Niners decide tying all that money in one player just isn't worth it...

Cutting Bryant means the Niners are really depleted at WR. Could this mean the Niners will go WR with their first pick (Ginn?) and address defense in free agency? Or, will they make a trade for a veteran WR who is currently not happy with his situation? Or, is the team that high on local guy Drew Bennett? I doubt Bennett could be a No.1, though...but maybe the Niners are content to sign Stallworth and pair him with Battle and Bennett?

From Cnnsi.com...

2007-03-01T21:32:00.000-05:00

I sure hope this is just smoke and mirrors:

• Where will the biggest of the free-agent names end up? Sources I talked to Thursday said not to discount linebacker Adalius Thomas winding up with New England -- despite an expected price tag that could approach $9 million per season. While many anticipate Thomas being reunited with former Ravens defensive coordinator Mike Nolan in San Francisco, some within the league said the 49ers won't necessarily make a strong push for him.

mental block?

2007-02-28T21:52:00.000-05:00

I just realized that I didn't include Manny Lawson in our starting defense for next year...maybe that's because he was pretty quiet last year.

Lawson is clearly in the Niners' plans as a potential starter at the linebacker position. This might prompt the Niners to sign an offensive lineman (Leonard Davis?) instead of signing Cato June...

Correction to previous post

2007-02-27T23:50:00.000-05:00

It looks like Dwayne Jarrett is falling faster than Britney Spears, so scratch his name from Niners' consideration at No. 11.

However, Ted Ginn Jr. could be an option. I just don't see the Niners going his way. The Niners have a history of not taking punt/kick returners with first round picks. He's also a smaller receiver, who are not typically dominant in the NFL--and not typically drafted by San Francisco. Of course, the whole offense is different now, so using history as a guide is faulty.

While I think the Niners will go defense, here are a few reasons why Ginn could be an option, assuming he's around at No. 11.

No. 1: Antonio Bryant and Vernon Davis are bigger guys. The Niners could use a guy who really stretches the field. Signing Donte Stallworth would get the job done and wouldn' t require passing on a defensive stud at No. 11. However, Ginn has more upside than Stallworth.

No. 2: Steve Smith and Torry Holt have had a lot of success in recent years against NFC opponents. If Ginn is anywhere near these guys, he will be able to contribute in any offensive system. And since we're not even positive the Niners will stick with Turner's run-first offense, Ginn could feature in a more pass-friendly offense.

No. 3: Getting Smith offensive tools--especially without Turner on board--is going to be crucial to his development. If the Niners think Ginn is a playmaker, he definitely adds an element to the offense that is currently lacking (downfield speed). Of course, Brandon Williams would become a total waste pick last year (assuming Ginn takes over at both return spots). But, that's a minor issue...

Breaking down the Niners' choices...

2007-02-27T00:01:00.000-05:00

We're still about two months away from the NFL Draft, so it's still premature to guess who the Niners will take. But, it's not too premature to speculate about the top candidates...

At this point, I'd say the Niners are looking hard at four guys with the No. 11 pick...

Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville
Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida
Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC
Reggie Nelson, S, Florida

I think these are four quality selections. I'm not sure the Niners could go wrong with any of them...but Okoye is a bit of a risk given he's only 19 and could leave as a free agent before he hits his prime...

Jarrett's a very interesting choice. If Calvin Johnson wasn't in the draft, he'd probably be the first WR taken...and I have a feeling he'd go higher than he's going to go...

This guy might be the real deal...exactly what SF needs to have a juggernaut offense. But, he's a risk...we haven't had good luck with first round WR picks. Is it worth it to pass up a sure-fire defensive stud to pick Jarrett? That's where SF's personnel department comes into play...

Nelson and Moss both played for Florida's national championship team. Moss is 6'6. 255...he definitely has NFL size. And he has a great burst. But he only had two sacks all last year...and they both came in the Ohio St. blowout. Where was he the rest of the season? Moss scares me. I think I'd pass on him...especially in the 3-4. But, he has huge upside, so I doubt it would be a Reggie McGrew mistake...

Nelson had 6 INTs and a TD for Florida last year...and he's coming out early (he's only a junior). I think he should be the pick, but I can't remember the last time the Niners drafted a safety in one of the top three rounds, let alone the first round.

Lastly, I don't know how substantiated this is, but according to his website, Adalius Thomas and the Niners already have a tentative deal lined up....

Bye bye blackbird

2007-02-26T22:43:00.000-05:00

The Niners waved Sammy Davis today...so we know thing's certain: the Niners' secondary will be better in 2007 than it was in 2006.

Harsh, but it's true...

Walt Harris had a screw put into his hand after breaking it in the Pro Bowl. He has plenty of time to recover...but the Niners might want to draft a replacement for Harris, who likely doesn't have too many good years left in him...and I guess his heir apparent isn't going to be the greatest living entertainer in the world...

See ya, Sammy. I'd rather have Rashaun Woods. OK, maybe not...

2007-08 Niners starting lineup...a hopeful prediction?

2007-02-24T22:27:00.000-05:00

QB Alex Smith
RB Frank Gore
FB Moran Norris
WRs Antonio Bryant, Donte Stallworth (*For the first two games while Bryant is suspended, Battle will start)
TE Vernon Davis
OTs Adam Synder, Jonas Jennings
OGs Larry Allen, Justin Smiley
C Eric Heitmann

(As an aside, Jennings played really well this while he was healthy. There was a noticeable difference when he was manning LT and when someone had to sub, even when it was Tony Wragge, who played better at guard)

DEs Bryant Young, Marques Douglas
DT Amobi Okoye (I'd rather the Niners pick Reggie Nelson and have two stud safeties, but I think Okoye might be the pick if the brass thinks he's big enough to play DT (6'1, 310, 19! years old)...Okoye can sign a five-year contract and then be a free agent at 24...this is potentially harmful for a team that doesn't think Okoye will reach his potential until later...since the drafting squad could lose Okoye before he blooms)

LBs Derek Smith, Brandon Moore, Cato June, Adalius Thomas (I'd LOVE to see Ulbrich as a fifth LB, subbing with Moore on running downs, and see the Niners snag two top LBs)
FS Keith Lewis
SS Mark Roman/a second-round pick (Eric Weddle, Utah?)
CBs Shawntae Spencer, Walt Harris (assuming Harris can hold on another year, which he likely can)

This scenario has the Niners signing Stallworth, June and Thomas as their three free agent splashes. With 37.5 million to spend, it's definitely possible...

finally some good news...

2007-02-22T20:12:00.000-05:00

In a HUGE stroke of luck for the Niners, Adalius Thomas was not tagged today by the Ravens. He would be the biggest free agent signing of anyone. If the Niners get him, they will "win" free agency's biggest prize. Given his history with Nolan and SF's oodles of cash, this is a distinct possibility.

Pat Kerney, the Falcons' old DE, was also not tagged. He's a possibility too...

But Thomas is the big story.

Bob Babich

2007-02-19T23:57:00.000-05:00

ESPN reports Babich will take over as the Bears' defensive coordinator...I hope so...

Losing Turner is a big deal...what offensive system will the Niners use next year? Whatever coach they choose, priority number one should be someone who has proven success handling young quarterbacks. Smith's progression is the most important thing for next year...year three is often a quarterback's first truly solid season. If Smith doesn't get markedly better next year, the team won't make the playoffs. If he does--and he can--the team should be in the postseason.

prediction

2007-02-19T21:00:00.000-05:00

I'll talk about Turner later...

In the meantime, the Bears have decided to part ways with Ron Rivera...

Will Singletary be the Bears' next defensive coordinator? It just seems too perfect, doesn't it?

Who will replace Turner as offensive coordinator? Readers, any ideas?

The calm before the storm...

2007-02-18T22:12:00.000-05:00

It's a strange time right now in the Niners' organization...hiring Turner will cause shockwaves throughout the organization. The Niners will be staggered, having thought the Cowboys' tension was finally over...Nolan will need to hire a new offensive coordinator, Singletary could conceivably end up as the Chargers' defensive coordinator, and the entire Niners' coaching staff will undergo huge changes.

Plus, free agency is set to begin on March 2, which is certainly diverting the front office's attention from scouting potential coordinators in case Turner bolts...

Is this the calm before the storm? Or will the Chargers go in a different direction than Singletary/Turner, thus keeping the Niners' staff in order?

Also, keep an eye on how Dwayne Jarrett looks in combine drills...a few mock drafts have the Niners taking Jarrett, but I bet they go defense unless Jarrett is a total knock-out in the combines....the Rashaun Woods/JJ Stokes first round picks are still be fresh in Niner fans' minds...

Of course, it's not like picking defense is a sure thing either...Reggie McGrew, where are you?

Uh oh...

2007-02-13T01:20:00.000-05:00

Now San Diego has a coaching spot open?! They already interviewed Norv once...and don't think just because Norv said he was happy to be back that he won't be lining up to coach the Chargers...

The only thing the Niners have going for them here is that AJ Smith is a control freak, which might not jive with Turner's urge to pick his own coordinators...Jerry Jones wasn't too happy about it, and it's pretty much what got Marty fired...

If the Chargers nab Norv, it'll be bad news for the Niners...because they might not only lose Norv, but it's not out of the question that Turner would turn around and hire Singletary to be the Chargers' defensive coordinator...

Hold your breath again, folks...one more time...

Arrington?

2007-02-12T21:16:00.000-05:00

LaVar would be a nice addition to the team...the Niners missed Peterson's presence as a large LB who could move around the field last year. Adalius Thomas (6'2, 270 lbs!) is another option, assuming he's not franchised...and, of course, Thomas has the Ravens' D/Nolan connection...

On the WR front, the Niners should consider trading a third or fourth rounder for a veteran if one's out there...Jerry Porter could be an option for cheaper than that...

Injuries...or lack thereof...

2007-02-09T01:08:00.000-05:00

People love to blame losing season on injuries. But it's rare that people praise lack of injuries for winning seasons.

The Niners won seven games this year because they were markedly more healthy than previous years...often more healthy than their opponents. This is the name of the game in the NFL. So much depends on staying healthy.

I hope Nolan repeats the team conditioning from last year...it made a huge difference. And so did eliminating the most injury prone (Plummer, Lloyd, etc.).

Good news and bad news

2007-02-09T00:41:00.000-05:00

The good news is Norv Turner is staying...but the bad news is Dwight Freeney is going to be franchised by the Colts.

The Niners might turn to fellow Colts defensive teammate Cato June. June is a playmaker...sometimes looking like the only Colt on the field (when the run defense decides to hibernate). He'd be a great pickup, especially now that the Niners are going to the 3-4 full-time.

In order for the 3-4 to be effective, the Niners need some help on the defense.

Harris and Spencer are legit starters. They stay. The Niners could use another veteran CB to act as a reliable nickel. Mike Adams isn't good enough yet.

Mark Roman is a good but not great safety. We could improve there. Remember, Roman was cut from the Packers at the beginning of the season...he's playable, but he's not a star. And his age limits his upside. We could definitely use an upgrade here. Having a big-time safety to pair with Lewis would make a HUGE difference. It would make our secondary one of the top 10 in the NFL...one player, immediate improvement. Harris, Lewis, Spencer and Pro Bowl Safety would be Top 5 NFC. I'd even consider taking a safety in the first round if we can get a Pro Bowler...remember, safeties tend to drop in the draft, so great ones can fall to 11.

Keith Lewis...you are a star. Thank god we have you on this team. You came out of nowhere last year...keep it up this season. You can be a Pro Bowl safety with a little more improvement.

At linebacker, Smith and Ulbrich are great third and fourth linebackers. Smith is actually good enough to be a 2 when healthy. Brandon Moore is great against the pass...at times, he was our only rusher this year. This makes him a solid three.

But we need a number one. Here's where we have to cash in on a free agent. June would be great...and we wouldn't have to totally break the bank.

At defensive end, we need another spalsh in free agency. Ignore offense completely if need be...we need a stud LB and a stud DE. Otherwise, we will be sitting out the playoffs again.

On offense, we could use another WR, yes...but I'm comfortable taking a shot on a wideout with a second or third round in the draft...look at the history...there are many WR stars that fall past round 1. It's a position of depth...and even the Niners have a history of finding good ones late (Owens, Tai Streets, Brandon Lloyd...OK, Lloyd sucks, but still...).

Brandon Williams, of course, was a second-round pick...let's just cross our fingers that he develops into a star returner...

We're pretty much set at O-line, but there's more bad news: Jeremy Newburry won't be back. I was REALLY hoping we could use him as a backup this year...but, alas, the Niners don't want to tie up any money in a long, long, longshot. If he is healthy, he'll be a fantastic pickup for someone. The guy is plain nasty. And he's a stud in the clubhouse...a ton of energy.

Davis makes TE a non-issue. Obviously, Gore and Smith are good...Norris seems like a find at FB. Kicker and punter are set.

So, let's open up that wallet, Mr. York...and get us June or Lance Briggs/Adalius Thomas and the best darn rusher out there, now that Freeney is gone...

the march to free agency...

2007-02-05T19:50:00.000-05:00

OK, now that the Colts have formally declared themselves as the best team of 2006, we can move forward with stealing their best defensive player (MAYBE second best. Bob Sanders is awesome).

We need to make a huge impact in free agency this year...it's been too long since the days when I used to pick up a newspaper and read that the Niners signed X big-name defensive star (Kevin Greene, Rod Woodson, Deion Sanders, Richard Dent, Ken Norton Jr., Charles Mann, Rickey Jackson, Chris Doleman, Tim McDonald...just to name a few).

This is our time-warp year back to 1994, fellow fans...

Uh oh...

2007-01-31T21:32:00.000-05:00

It seems as though Norv Turner is so confident he will be hired by Jerry Jones that he's already making strict demands...such as having free reign on who is hired from this point on...

Losing Turner will not be good for this team...we can only hope he taught his players well enough in his one year, assuming he does, in fact, leave.

Man, the Niners have just been killed by other teams mooching off of their coaches. This will be three Offensive coordinators in three years...

If Turner leaves, who steps in? Nolan NEEDS an offensive genius. He's a defensive guy. And with Smith still so young, having a veteran coach for Smith is absolutely necessary. He needs a role model...

Am I being paranoid?

2007-01-26T00:41:00.000-05:00

Or is the following scenario possible...

1. The Cowboys snatch Lovey Smith away from the Bears for an ungodly amount of money.

2. The Bears, in turn, hire Mike Singletary away from us, bringing him back to the Windy City.

To avoid this, perhaps we should think about making 'the intense one' our new defensive coordinator. While the ol' Dave Campo/Norv Turner combination brings back memories of the Cowboy teams that I despised, I think I'd have to reluctantly go with Singletary...he's a stud. We need to keep him on board as a coach...perhaps we should give him a chance as a coordinator.

I hear Turner is also a possibility to replace Parcells...this would not be good for our team either. Let's hope no team goes a-poachin'. We've had enough coaching turnover for one off-season. Leave our mediocre 7-9 team alone, NFL!

Super Bowl thoughts...

2007-01-22T22:09:00.000-05:00

Well, my pre-playoffs pick of Colts vs. Saints was close...and, to be fair, I wasn't expecting two to three inches of snow when I made my NFC pick. But, having spent the past three weeks in Chicago, I realize now that I should have expected it...the Bears have a huge home field advantage.

They won't have it in Miami.

Dwight Freeney was outstanding against the Patriots. The Niners should pay whatever it takes. The guy is a one-man wrecking crew. Count me in as sold. He was even decent against the run...one game doesn't mean much, obviously, but this guy is a true talent...and he's been a star from the getgo. I hope the Niners aren't still afraid of putting a lot of money in a defensive player, what with the Gabe Wilkins and Reggie McGrew debacles many seasons in the past...

Gotta think the Colts hand it to the Bears in the Super Bowl...no?

Mr. Mora goes to Washington

2007-01-21T21:37:00.000-05:00

Not the University of, but Seattle...as a defensive backs (!) coach...

I guess Mora valued family over job status...guess I can't blame him there, but he would have made for a great defensive coordinator with Nolan...if they were willing to work together...

The hunt for a defensive coordinator continues...

Freeney

2007-01-20T19:43:00.000-05:00

Keep an eye out for Dwight Freeney tomorrow...watch how quickly he moves off the line. See if he can beat the Pats' O-linemen to get to Brady. The Niners might be tempted to offer him a boatload of money this offseason. He'd likely be their best edge rusher since Charles Haley. Freeney's had a down year this season, which could convince the Colts that he's on the decline (which, perhaps, he is...).

However, check out the man's stats:

2002	Indianapolis Colts	16	41	40.0	1	13	1
2003	Indianapolis Colts	15	31	27.0	4	11	1
2004	Indianapolis Colts	16	34	31.0	3	16	3
2005	Indianapolis Colts	16	34	29.0	5	11	3
2006	Indianapolis Colts	16	29	26.0	3	5.5	3

Given that Freeney was born in 1980, it's hard to believe that the 5.5 sacks will be a trend. He has blazing speed but has struggled against the run throughout his career (see: Colts terrible run defense).

Freeney's stats are also a bit misleading, as the Colts typically score a ton of points. As a result, teams that get behind often throw the ball, which give Freeney more sack attempts (and thus more sacks).

But if you've ever seen him play, there's no doubting his speed. If he can rattle Brady, the Niners might be convinced to make a run at him...

Duffman is thrusting in the direction of UT...

2007-01-07T23:11:00.000-05:00

While the departure of Billy Davis was expected and probably for the best, Larry Mac Duff's exit to be an assistant coach at the University of Texas is a blow to the team.

While Mac Duff has presided over four miserable years in the history of the franchise, the special teams have not been a problem under his tenure. In fact, during the Niners' successful 20-year run, kicking and coverage were annually poor. The team had enough talent to mask both problems, but they seemed to always exist. Much was blamed on the SF winds in Candlestick.

However, Andy Lee and Joe Nedney have each put up consecutive good years. Maurice Hicks is explosive as a kick returner and Brandon Williams shows promise as a punt returner. Before him, Arnaz Battle and Jimmy Williams both had very good stints as return men. Terry Jackson and Keith Lewis also both made names for themselves playing under Mac Duff.

It is somewhat ironic that the Niners exhausting search for reasonable special teams finally occurred in the down years of the franchise. Mac Duff leaves San Francisco on the doorstep of success once again. He will not be around to see the sweet fruits of his labor, but he should be recognized as an excellent coach and one of the few bright spots of the past four years.

Billy Davis...gonzo!

2007-01-04T00:00:00.000-05:00

The Niners fired defensive coordinator Billy Davis today...only two days after former defensive coordinator Jim Mora Jr. was let go by the Falcons.

Assuming that Mora doesn't take the University of Washington job (not currently available to him and, after all, he was just joking...), the ex-Niner coach would make for a superb replacement of Davis. A Nolan/Mora Jr. defense would be intense...if merely for the combined personalities of the two men. Add Mike Singletary's stare, and you've got a Pro Bowl trio. If only the team could get some players to match their coaches...perhaps the 40-million in cap room for this season will begin addressing this.

The SF Chronicle and other media outlets are speculating that it might be Singletary's job to lose, perhaps for fear that the former Bears MLB would take another team's D-Coordinator job if the Niners don't give it to him.

However, Lil' Mora has to make for an enticing candidate if he doesn't hook on as a head coach somewhere else. He was very effective here with Mooch and Erickson...one more go 'round might be a good idea...

MISC.

2007-01-01T14:38:00.000-05:00

1) Calvin Johnson is awesome. He should be the No. 1 pick, over Brady Quinn or Brian Brohm. The Niners victory yesterday makes it a near guarantee that they will not pay the price to move up to get him. Oh well. He is exactly who the team needs right now.

2) A few people have talked about signing an experienced wide receiver in free agency, but there just isn't anyone out there who will make a real difference. Drew Bennett is OK and adds something to the team given his size (no other receiver on the squad is nearly as tall). However, the best route for SF might be via trade. Remember, the biggest name wide receivers to switch teams recently (Javon Walker, Terrell Owens, Deion Branch) have all been traded--they were not free agents. So, perhaps the Niners ought to wait to see if a receiver has an internal scuffle with his current team and then pop up with a draft pick offer (a second or third round pick) to secure a top WR. A big-time threat to go along with Battle (great game yesterday for him) and Bryant would make the team explosive...that is a huge missing piece that would make the Niners NFC Championship contenders.

3) Where did the pass rush come from yesterday? That was unseen, all year long...

4) Alex Smith played well with absolutely nothing to lose yesterday. Hell, even a loss would have had positive consequences (better draft pick). We can only hope that Smith remembers the feeling and carries it over to next season.

5) I'm picking a Colts v. Saints Superbowl. Yes, the Colts have no run defense...but I think the pressure is off Manning this year...I just have a feeling...

Things to watch for against Denver

2006-12-28T12:14:00.000-05:00

1) Check out how often Eric Johnson and Vernon Davis play together...Johnson is an unrestricted free agent after this game. If Johnson and Davis work well together, the Niners might make him an offer. If not, expect the Yale graduate (who killed the Crimson my freshman year with 21 receptions in The Game as a skinny receiver) to move elsewhere. Johnson is a typical West Coast offense TE...a guy who bulked up so that he could block and catch (he has outstanding hands). Unfortunately, the 49ers will have no use for him if the team decides he doesn't fit well with Davis.

2) Watch for the lack of pass rush...I hope this is the last time I will ever have to write about our glaring lack of pressure on the QB. If ANYTHING needs to change for next year, it's that we need way more pressure on the QB from our ends and linebackers.

3) Who wins the battle of promising QBs: Smith or Cutler? Or, will they both look lousy?

Where to go now?

2006-12-26T12:06:00.000-05:00

I will soon be posting with in depth draft-pick coverage, but for now...the main dilemma is whether or not to root against Denver...I'm mixed on this one. We could really use the higher draft pick...

Bryant Suspended Four Games

2006-12-22T23:26:00.000-05:00

This is not the ideal time for this, Antonio...

If Eric Johnson is healthy, I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of Davis/Johnson sets this week and next.

Assuming the Niners don't make the playoffs (and it's now even more likely that they won't), Bryant will also have to sit out the first two games of the season next year.

I bet the Niners will sign a free agent WR to complement Bryant/Battle...and to take Bryant's place during games 1 and 2 next season. My guess is Drew Bennett. He's a Bay Area guy and a huge target...remember, he had a few mind-boggling games last season. Bennett was under-utilized (or maybe he just sucked) this year, but he may be able to provide the Niners with a better third option than anyone they have on their team this year or could draft...

Question: Will Brandon Williams get some WR playing time now that Bryant is out? Or, will the Niners go to Taylor Jacobs?

Guide to this week's games

2006-12-20T15:09:00.000-05:00

OK Niners fans...here's who to root for this week:

Vikings at Packers:

Both teams share the same record as the Niners: 6-8. Root for the Vikings, as the Niners hold the head-to-head tiebreaker against Minnesota but do not against Green Bay. Plus, it's always fun to root against the Pack. This game will be like the good ol' days (kind of), when it was actually important to root against Green Bay (it was usually for the No. 1 seed then...now, it's for a terribly flawed team to squeak into a wild card spot). A Vikings win would be an upset, given Minnesota will play a rookie QB in his first NFL on the Frozen Tundra. Go Vikes Go.

Panthers at Falcons:

Root for 6-8 Carolina against 7-7 Atlanta. A Falcons win would put Atlanta in the driver's seat for the last wild card spot. A division loss hurts them when it comes down to tie-breakers (neither the Falcons or the Panthers played the Niners this year)...and, of course, we'd rather have two teams at 7-8 than one at 8-7 and one at 6-9. A Panthers win would be an upset, given Carolina's QB woes; playing at Atlanta is never easy.

Saints at Giants:

Root for New Orleans. NO has the division locked up so a Saints win means nothing for the Niners playoff hopes. The Giants, however, might be the biggest threat to the Niners taking a wild card spot...they are 7-7 right now but have two loseable games remaining on their schedule...New Orleans should be mad after a horrific loss at home to the Redskins last week. I hope Brees and Bush show up to send NYC into a tizzy. The Giants might explode with another loss and totally tank the last week of the season...here's hoping for a Giant Explosion.

Eagles at Cowboys:

This game doesn't really matter, as I think Cowboys will win the division and the Eagles will take one of the wild cards...remember, the Eagles beat the Niners earlier this season, so they have that head-to-head tiebreaker advantage. Since the Eagles are 8-6, they are going to beat out SF even if they lose their last two and the Niners win both. Root for many injuries...just kidding.

Chargers at Seahawks:

If the Chargers beat Seattle, we can throw all of our attention to Tampa next week (assuming a SF win), as the division will be at stake. More than any other game this week, tune into Seattle and root hard for LT to go nuts.

Arizona at San Francisco:

If SF can't beat the Cards, there's no sense rooting against anyone.

Playoffs?!?!

2006-12-18T14:44:00.000-05:00

Thanks Jim Mora...both, actually...dad for the title of this blog post and son for having his team tank, opening up a possible spot for the Niners as a wild card...

There are still too many teams jumbled up at 7-7 or 6-8 to make a strong case for the wild card at this time. It's much easier to think about the division, where the scenario is clear: two wins and two Seattle losses, and we're in...it's amazing to be in this situation at this point, given all of our clunkers this year. But...

You have to admit, it's likely that San Diego beats Seattle next week. It's less likely that we beat Arizona, but we're favored...

We have yet to win a blowout game this year. Even the Raiders game was back and forth for a while. I'd love to finally come charging out of the gates and buy the Cardinals. It would give the team so much confidence for Denver. Fortunately, Spencer will have had another week to rest his ankle and Ulbrich should be healthier. Derek Smith and Adam Snyder may both be back as well.

I'm stunned that the Saints lost at home to the Redskins. If we are fortunate enough to make the playoffs and somehow, some way advance into the second round to play New Orleans (who will likely get a first round bye), I'd love to emulate the 'Skins strategy...ball control and lots of Frank Gore. Start off with Smith throwing and then just plug away with Gore.

Of course, we'd also have to take away some pointers as how to neutralize Reggie Bush (7 carries for 14 yards and a non-factor in the passing game), but I'm getting ahead of myself.

For now, the defense will have its hands full with Arizona this week. I hope we can put some pressure on Leinart (even though I'm sure we won't, since we didn't even pressure Hasselback last week)...but, maybe Mr. Nolan will surpise me...

I'm cheered up!

2006-12-15T01:29:00.000-05:00

Wow, I forgot the 49ers could actually play well...

Of course, they didn't for nearly three quarters (offensively, at least). But then...

Smith's flat-footed 60-yard pass to Battle was the first big play not called back from a penalty or from a toe out-of-bounds in three months. It seemed as though the play opened up the Niner offense for the remainder of the game--almost an ice-breaker at a middle school dance. Finally, everyone took a sigh of relief and had fun.

The defense was very good. Although Seattle moved the ball and the Niners still had a virtually non-existant four-man rush, the defense stopped the Seahawks from converting on the big play. This was much different than Sunday's laugher (cryer?) vs. Green Bay, where Favre had the deep ball working for much of the game.

Keith Lewis is really good...this was a breakout game for him. He was outstanding. He might be the team's best defensive player.

Nice to see Spencer back at corner...and even nicer that Davis and Strickland are on IR. I don't mean to be callous, but it's somewhat comforting to know that Davis won't be out there. He wears a huge bulls-eye and doesn't have the confidence to compete against good QBs.

What a silly penalty on Vernon Davis after his touchdown....jesus, NFL...this game is played for entertainment. Let the players celebrate a little bit...it's so ridiculous he was penalized for that. They need to be a little more lenient with celebrations...

It's 1:36 AM on the East Coast, but I'm still too excited to go to sleep...that was such a needed victory. Most importantly, the Niners season continues...

At Denver...ouch. Struggling Broncos or not, playing at Denver is one of the top five most difficult places to play each year. It's loud, it's cold, it's often snowing...good luck Alex Smith. This confidence boost should help...

Readers, I need some cheering up

2006-12-13T00:30:00.000-05:00

What's the point?

I have been in the blogosphere doldrums the past two days. If we can't beat Green Bay at home...

I mean, come on. The Packers got spanked by the Jets last week...and we make Favre look like the same QB he was ten years ago. Unbelievable. We've sunk right back to square one.

We need a stud cornerback. I'm not totally sold on Spencer, even when he's healthy. I'd take a stud corner in the first round of next year's draft if pass rush wasn't such an obvious need.

Of course, we got no pressure on Favre, and I'm not sure we'll get any pressure on another QB all season. Other than Brandon Moore, we don't have a single player who can rush the QB from the D-line or linebacker position. That is ridiculous and sad. Manny Lawson, where are you? The only time I see you is making a tackle after a running back or wide-out has gained nine yards...for a first round pick, you have to be more valuable than a drop-back-in-coverage linebacker...

Watching the Ravens this week made me remember how important a defense can be...and watching us put no pressure on Favre cemented the notion.

I don't want to talk about Smith (look, he's 22...he's gonna make mistakes) or Gore (disappeared after the first quarter) or Bryant (dude's gotta contribute more than 39 yards) or Davis (Hallelujiah! He finally got in the action...thank you, Eric Johnson, for getting injured)...

I just want a brand new spankin' defense. And unfortunately, that's all that gives me hope at this point, as the 2006 season will likely officially end on Thursday.

Readers, I need some cheering up.

6-7?

2006-12-07T01:21:00.000-05:00

This week's game against the Packers is very winnable. The Niners will be back at home...and while Mr. Favre has a history of playing well at Candlestick, these are not your older brother's Packers.

Alex Smith has to have a good game on Sunday. The pressure's on, lil' buddy. Smith has to throw deep and connect with Bryant, Battle and Davis. We know Gore will do his thing, if healthy.

The Niners are the most banged up they've been all year (hence why they cut Tony Parrish). Derek Smith will be out, Adam Snyder may be gone for the year, Shawntae Spencer will probably rest one more week, Eric Johnson will not play...but even these injuries are not crippling like recent season's past. The Niners not only can but should win on Sunday. If not, the season is over.

With four games remaining, it's too early to figure out who to root for and against in the NFC, as many of the Niners' competitors play each other in the coming weeks. Personally, I think the Falcons may be the best of the wild card contenders...so I'd certainly root against them. I'm not concerned with the Rams or Vikings--just don't think they are good enough to pose a real threat. The Eagles play three road games in a row, so I'm not too concerned there either...but the Giants have a talented team if Eli plays like he did last week. And, of course, the Panthers defense makes Carolina a threat.

So, I'd root against Atlanta, New York and Carolina, as far as the playoff picture goes. If two of those three teams win a couple games, the Niners may be history, even with a win this week and an upset over Seattle next Thursday.

Back to Reality

2006-12-04T20:06:00.000-05:00

OK, so the 49ers aren't that good...

I suppose that's simply reality. The defense isn't quick enough to stay with Reggie Bush...and some are (Chicago, Baltimore, Denver...), so it's not like Bush is invincible.

Alex Smith is still a work in progress. Those who think he will never make the leap to "elite" quarterback should realize, however, that he is only 22 years old. If he develops every year, the Niners will have made a super No. 1 pick...a quarterback to lead a team for 10-15 years. Even Montana and Young had shorter careers with the Niners than 15 years.

Frank Gore can't do it himself. This was the first game in recent memory where Gore was stopped. Vernon Davis, we need you. You can be a game-breaker...let's see some flash.

Joe Nedney's kickoffs aren't strong enough. He rarely, if ever, booms the ball into the end zone. I miss Wade Richey's gargantuan kickoffs...

The Niners are just getting robbed on ball spots and replay...this was another game where iffy calls continuosly were reviewed in favor of the opponent. Last week's game would have been a Niners victory by 10 if close calls weren't SF's way...this one still would have been a loss, but a closer defeat...

The Niners used to have a stacked class of linebackers. Peterson, Moore, Ulbrich, D. Smith, Winborn...

Now, the Niners linebackers need improvement. Derek Smith is a nice player, but he is not a monster like the best MLBs in the game. Peterson is a loss, but even he wasn't a tackling machine like Urlacher, Ray Lewis, Vilma, Joey Porter, etc...the game-breaking linebackers. Getting another hard-hitting linebacker should be a priority for the team next year.

If I were to draft today and had one pick in each round (the Niners have many more than that in the '07 draft), I'd draft the following positions, in this order:

1st round: Defensive tackle who can provide pass pressure
2nd round: Linebacker
3rd round: Cornerback
4th round: Defensive end
5th round: Defensive tackle
6th round: Linebacker
7th round: Cornerback

I'd go all defense...a more dominating defense that can rush the passer will help the offenseby putting Smith in better field position. The Niners had miserable starting position against the Saints.

Then, I'd sign a veteran free agent wide receiver...Battle and Bryant are legitimate starters, but the team could use a reliable third receiver who gets open a lot and who can catch pivotal third down passes. If there's one available, I might sign a No. 2 wideout and move Arnaz to the third spot.

And I'm OK with letting Eric Johnson go...as much as like the Ivy League thing, I went to Harvard, so...

No pass rush

2006-11-29T20:31:00.000-05:00

Earlier in the season, the pass rush was so bad that Mike Nolan was already talking about signing veteran guys next season to help put pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

In the midst of the team's resurrgence, the lack of pass rush has not been a headline issue. For one, the rush has been better...Melvin Oliver, Roderick Green and Brandon Moore have come out of relative obscurity to put some heat (from time to time) on the quarterback.

But the rush was nonexistant during the Rams' final drive (after BY's initial coverage sack), as evidenced by Bulger's 9-for-9 performance. He had plenty of time to find receivers and hardly had to roll out of the pocket.

This is a serious issue, especially facing Drew Brees, who is putting up 300+ passing yards against good teams. He must be salivating at the prospect of playing at home against a team that can't put pressure on him.

To have success against the Saints, BY must have a huge game. Nolan will likely have to call delayed blitzes and maybe even risk a corner or safety blitz so that Brees doesn't have a breeze throwing long TD passes against coverage guys who can't hang with receivers. Either that, or Walt Harris and Shawntae Spencer (assuming he's back) are going to need to play out of their minds.

This team needs pass rushing help from the ends...just as it has for the last 10 years. I wish Tim Harris and Rickey Jackson were still around to create some havoc from the elephant...or at least a Kevin Greene...hell, Julian Peterson or Andre Carter would do...

A few thoughts, moving forward...

2006-11-28T12:19:00.000-05:00

*Is Frank Gore being injured in the last few minutes of a game going to be a trend? Maybe the Niners should think about spelling Gore with Hicks earlier in the game, if it means that Gore's body is more likely to hold up in the game's last five minutes...

*You never really know how a young team not used to winning will respond to a heartbreaking loss. I have fears of a N'Orleans' drubbing next week. On the flip side, a close game will show a vast amount of improvement from the team. Playing at New Orleans is the most difficult game the team has had since at Chicago...

*There are so many teams at 5-6 and 6-5...in fact, it seems likely that one team of the following: (Giants, Eagles, Rams, Falcons, Niners) will join the Panthers as the last wild card team (with the Cowboys, Bears, Saints and Seahawks). Those five bubble teams are really flawed right now...someone is going to have to make a break for the postseason. It could be the Niners, but winning on the road against strong teams has become a necessity. There will be no backing in to the playoffs this year...perhaps we can hope that Jay Cutler is overwhelmed by the NFL scene and hands away a game at Denver...thing is, winning at Denver is so difficult, I think Jim Druckenmiller might be able to lead the Broncos to victory...

*If the Niners beat the Seahawks or Saints on the road, Vernon Davis is going to have to be a downfield weapon.

*The Niners played well without Spencer this week. That is a credit to the entire defense.

*Do you think Bryant Young is a Hall-of-Fame player? I do...this guy is still one of the best D-Linemen in the game. It is damn hard to do this at his age...and he brings it every season. For a while, he was a one-man show on the line. Maybe next year, we can finally get him some real help, a la 1994 and 1995.

Ouch

2006-11-26T23:25:00.000-05:00

And this is what happens when you can't drop the hammer...it was only a matter of time before a team stole one.

How about punting instead of lining up a Nedney 51-yard field goal in the first half (and having the punt sail into the end zone, netting 14 yards)?

How about letting the Rams kick a 51-yarder of their own just before the first half?

How about Antonio Bryant's holding penalty, negating Frank Gore's 28-yard run in the first half?

How about that silly delay of game penalty at game's end?

Let's not even touch the 24-yard field goal on 4th-and-a-centimeter...that's a debatable call...thing is, Nolan now hasn't trusted his team on 4th-and-really short for three games in a row. I'd say a top priority for next season is getting a reliable third/fourth-down guy who can a yard 95% of the time. If Michael Robinson's not the guy, let's get a fullback who is.

The team drops to 5-6 with games at New Orleans, at Seattle and at Denver remaining...with Philly, New York, Carolina and Atlanta all losing today, a win today would have been huge. 8-8 might get in as the last wild card spot...but 9-7 is probably more realistic. This would mean that the Niners would have to win two of those three road games. A win at Seattle might be possible. A win at New Orleans next week has to be wildly unlikely. If Brees is throwing for 350 yards against every opponent, I'd have to imagine San Francisco's minimal pass rush isn't going to slow him down too much...and Denver is totally out of the question, especially because the Broncos will still be playing for home field when the Niners roll into town.

The Niners are now in a spot where simply staying with mediocre teams isn't going to cut it. They are going to have beat a legitimate winning team--at their own place--to have a chance at the playoffs. It's nice to have a chance 11 games into the season...but the door is closing fast.

P.S. Vernon Davis, can you please start to get into the action? I'm sick of only seeing you once a game as someone who has just dropped a pass...

Keys to the game...

2006-11-26T12:55:00.000-05:00

1) If Spencer doesn't play, how will Strickland, Hudson and Davis fill in for him? Will they be victimized by Holt or Bruce?

2) Will Smith panic on the road against a hungry team desperate for a win?

3) Will the offense finally click on all cylinders, now that Vernon Davis, Bryant, Eric Johnson, Battle and Gore are all in the lineup at once?

Stretching the field

2006-11-24T01:31:00.000-05:00

With Vernon Davis returning to full strength this week, will the Niners finally stretch the field in the Dome on Sunday? Antonio Bryant will not be suspended, according to Mike Nolan (although Nolan did oddly state that he doesn't "believe [he] has all the information." Not really sure if that means a suspension might be on the horizon, but with Bryant in the lineup in this pivotal division game, the Niners have the resources to force the Rams to respect Frank Gore.

A reasonable fear among Niner fans should be that teams will start to put nine guys in the box to stop Gore, who has been the team's primary offense in recent weeks. In order to burn teams that make this decision, Alex Smith is going to have to start to throw the deep ball effectively. With Davis, Bryant and Arnaz Battle in the lineup, Smith should have some resources.

Also, will we see some WR/RB pass plays this week? With Battle and Michael Robinson available, I expected that the Niners would throw in a trick pass-play per game. We haven't seen it much this year...which, perhaps, means that we will be seeing some tricks in the next few weeks. Norv Turner loves the reverse (we've seen speedy Bryan Gilmore get in on a couple of these), but where's the reverse-and-throw down field? I wouldn't be surprised to see either Robinson or Battle throw a pass this week, if the situation presents itself. At least a direct snap, Norv! Let's use our weapons...

Avoiding injuries

2006-11-22T14:35:00.000-05:00

Much has been written about the development of Alex Smith, the emergence of Frank Gore, and the recent stifling play of the defense, keyed by Brandon Moore and Keith Lewis jumping into starting position.

However, one of the big reasons the Niners are 5-5 is injuries...or lack thereof.

In recent years, the Niners have been decimated by injuries. Unlike the New England Patriots, who have the depth to deal with numerous injuries to starters, San Francisco has not had the talent to fill in the gaps. To be honest, the team still doesn't...as evidenced by the horror that was Sammy Davis in last week's win.

Fortunately, Mike Nolan realized this...and he has made a game effort to rid his squad of the most injury prone. He shipped off Jamie Winborn, he cut ties with Ahmed Plummer, and he even made a tough call not to resign Julian Peterson, primarily for fear of tying up a lot of money in someone who might have future injury problems...the jury is still out on this one.

Last year, injuries to Jeremy Newberry and Jonas Jennings crippled the offensive line, giving Alex Smith no time (as a rookie, no less) to find his receivers (who were not talented enough to get wide open on their own). So, Nolan stockpiled offensive linemen...and this year, David Bass, Tony Wragge and Adam Snyder can spell the starters adequately.

Eric Heitman has been phenomenal filling in for Newberry...and, of course, Larry Allen is the big reason why Gore is so consistently good. Is it coincidence that the Niners three-game winning streak corresponds with Allen's return? No way.

At week 11 and 12, many teams are done in by key injuries. This may happen to the Eagles and Giants this year. Some of this is pure luck, but some injuries can be prevented by proper conditioning and eliminating players whose bodies can't take the strain. The Niners have finally become a team that benefits from the injuries of other teams rather than suffering through their own.

The team is still woefully thin at corner...and if Shawntae Spencer is out this week, the Niners might be done for. But, No.1 draft pick and possible future-star Vernan Davis has been a non-factor after his week one TD against Arizona. Has the team really missed Davis? Unclear...because the team has enough offensive depth to get by without him. If Antonio Bryant is suspended, it's possible that Davis will fill in for him without missing a beat...we will see.

Staying healthy is one of the biggest keys to victory in the NFL...and in an NFC so close, it could be what propels San Francisco to an 8-8 record...or, shockingly, a miraculous playoff appearance. Of course, one or two injuries in the wrong areas could send the team back to 6-10...just cross your fingers for Spencer and Gore.

5-5

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For the first time in four seasons, the 49ers are at .500 after ten games.

Is this team actually a playoff team? Right now, I still have my doubts.

The Niners only have one road win. San Francisco has been a much better team at home for many years. Even recently, when they've been terrible, they have still consistently played better at home. Remember last year's game at home vs. Seattle? 27-25 Seahawks. Remember the road game? 41-3.

So, the team has not proven it can beat a good team on the road, as has been the case for many years now.

Looking at the remainder of the schedule, San Francisco must win this week at St. Louis. This is always a difficult place to play, given that the Rams have built their team for the turf (relying on speed and downfield passing to Holt and Bruce).

San Francisco can win at St. Louis---they even did last season (remember, SF beat the Rams twice last season, despite their putrid team). A win would put the Niners at 6-5. I will actually be rooting for Brett Favre (never thought I'd say that six years ago...) this week against Seattle. A Packers win, and the Niners are tied for first.

The Niners then play at New Orleans (difficult game, probable L), and later play at Seattle and at Denver. You have to think the Niners lose all of these games. Victories against the Cardinals and Packers at home (definitely possible) puts the team at 8-8.

Is 8-8 good enough to make the playoffs? Only with some luck...but it's possible Seattle could have some trouble down the stretch...(we won't even get into Wild Card chances here).

Seattle plays at Denver, vs. San Diego (just beat Denver at Mile High) and at Tampa Bay. The Bucs aren't good, but playing at home, that may not be a walk for Seattle. Three losses there puts Seattle at 9-7 with wins over Green Bay, Arizona and San Francisco. A victory over Tampa, and Seattle goes 10-6. These seem like the most likely scenarios...

In order for SF to win the west, Seattle pretty much has to lose to Green Bay this week (and the Niners must beat the Rams, of course).

So, root for Mr. Fav-re and chant GO PACK GO like you never thought you would before...

Welcome to the 49ers blog

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This blog will be dedicated to analyzing the performance of the San Francisco 49ers. The goal of this blog is to become one of the premier 49ers blogs on the Internet. While I am not a San Francisco Chronicle beat writer or have any inside information on the team, I am a passionate fan who follows the team closely and has for many years. As the Niners fight to make the playoffs for the first time since the Garcia-Owens-Hearst era, I hope that other dedicated fans find this blog and add their two-cents on what they've seen from the team and what they hope to see in the future.

This is not a blog for complaining about the Yorks. Please do not read this blog if your concern is to complain about the team's ownership. This childish moaning is boring, hackneyed and pointless. The Yorks are trying to win, even if they have faults. Rather, this blog serves as a forum to discuss the players and coaching of the football team. Feel free to offer thoughts on players you'd like to see join (or leave) the team...and feel free to question coaching moves and player signings and puzzling contracts. Just don't expect to see anything about the stadium conflict or San Francisco politics. This isn't the place.

I hope 49ers fans across the globe find this blog and contribute to enhancing the dialogue about the team, which is currently sorely lacking.

Go Niners!